Date of Award
1-1-2015
Language
English
Document Type
Master's Thesis
Degree Name
Master of Science (MS)
College/School/Department
Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences
Content Description
1 online resource (xii, 89 pages) : color illustrations, color maps.
Dissertation/Thesis Chair
Ryan D Torn
Committee Members
Kristen Corbosiero
Keywords
ECMWF, ensemble forecasting, tropical cyclones, Cyclone forecasting, Cyclones
Subject Categories
Atmospheric Sciences | Meteorology
Abstract
Ensemble forecasts of Tropical Storm Debby and Hurricane Sandy (2012) highlight instances where variability in tropical cyclone (TC) position forecasts are stretched along a preferred direction. The goal of this thesis is to analyze this stretching of variability in a global ensemble prediction system, particularly the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), to determine how often and under what conditions does variability stretching occur, and ultimately what feature(s) are responsible for generating this variability.
Recommended Citation
Elless, Travis, "Evaluating preferred direction tropical cyclone track variability in an operational global ensemble prediction system" (2015). Legacy Theses & Dissertations (2009 - 2024). 1375.
https://scholarsarchive.library.albany.edu/legacy-etd/1375